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Writing history [edit] In April 2011, shortly before the publication of A Dance with Dragons, which took him six years to write, Martin hoped that "the last two books will go a little quicker than this one has" and estimated that it would take "three years to finish the next one at a good pace".145|46] By October 2012, 400 pages of the sixth novel had been written, although Martin considered only the first 200 as "really finished", the rest still needing revisions. 471 In April 2013, Martin estimated that he had a quarter of the book. 48] In the past, Martin has angered some of his fan base for repeatedly estimating his publication dates too optimistically; therefore, he has refrained from making hard estimates for The Winds of Winter's final release date. 2] In April 2015, Martin said he would like to have it published before the sixth season of the HBO series Game of Thrones (which was to cover material from the book) aired in 2016;(49||50) in September 2015, statements made by the Spanish editor and the Polish translator of the novel indicated that it was expected to be published in 2016.151)][52][53][54] In January 2016, Martin confirmed that he had not met an end-of-year deadline that he had established with his publisher for release of the book before the sixth season of the HBO show. He added that completion of the book was "months away still... if the writing goes well". Martin also revealed there had been a previous deadline of October 2015 that he had considered achievable in May 2015, and that in September 2015 he had still considered the end year deadline achievable. He confirmed that some of the plot of the book might be revealed in the upcoming season of Game of Thrones 55) but one of the showrunners, David Benioff, claimed that while certain key elements would be the same, the show would diverge from the book in many respects.56] In February 2016, Martin stated that he had dropped all his editing projects except for Wild Cards, and that he would not be writing anything, no teleplays, screenplays, short stories, introductions or forewords before delivering The Winds of Winter.[57] In 2017, Martin believed that The Winds of Winter would be released that same year. However, he also noted that he had believed the same thing would occur the previous year,42||58||59] and later that year he confirmed he was "still months away" from finishing the book, indicating it may not be published until 2018 or later, with Fire & Blood, the book on the history of House Targaryen, possibly preceding it.60] In April 2018, Martin confirmed that Fire & Blood would be published before The Winds of Winter, which would not be published in 2018;61] he indicated that Fire & Blood was the book his publisher wanted next. 62] Since then, he has confirmed at least four times in 2018 that he was continuing work on The Winds of Winter.63|[64[65][66] In April 2019, Martin said that the writing "has been going very well lately", (671 and in May he wrote that if he did not have a copy of The Winds of Winter in hand for 2020 Worldcon New Zealand, Air New Zealand has his permission to imprison him on New Zealand's White Island until he finishes it.68]|69] In October 2019, Martin said he hoped to finish The Winds of Winter "in the relatively near future",170l and after a Game of Thrones prequel, House the Dragon, of which Martin is one of the executive producers, was announced,71] he stated that there was a lot of work to be done on the series but that he would not write any scripts for the series before finishing The Winds of Winter.[72] In an interview published in January 2020, Martin said that while he was still working on The Winds of Winter, his primary focus, he also continues 73] working with Nnedi Okorafor on a TV adaptation of her science fantasy novel Who Fears Death,74) for which he agreed to be executive producer in 2017.751 In March and April 2020, Martin stated that he was writing The Winds of Winter every day.76||77| In February 2021, Martin said he had written "hundreds and hundreds of pages" of The Winds of Winter in 2020 but that even though it had been the most productive year with regard to The Winds of Winter, he still had hundreds of pages to write; although he was hopeful of finishing in 2021, he did not want to make any predictions.78] In March 2022, Martin stated that he had made less progress in 2021 than in 2020, but emphasized that " 'less' is not 'none",[79]

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