Vibecession

Are We In The Middle Of A 'Vibecession'? Internet Debates About Whether The Economic Downturn Is Real Or 'Vibes Based' Explained

Vibes-based internet discourse used to be reserved for niche metro-focussed reporting on art and culture, as seen in the vibe shift debacle of 2022, but the trend has seemingly started spilling into the sphere of economics.


A phrase coined by writer Kyla Scanlon, the Vibecession indicates a general sense of doom and gloom surrounding the American economy, despite the actual numbers about prices and wages indicating a positive turn from past years. The idea of a Vibecession gained traction on X, with internet users debating about the validity of the diagnosis. Here's a recap of some of the more compelling arguments from either side.

Where Does The Term 'Vibecession' Originate?

Kyla Scanlon coined the phrase "Vibecession" in a June 2023 Substack post titled, "The Vibecession: The Self-Fulfilling Prophecy." She defined the term as a "period of temporary vibe decline where economic data such as trade and industrial activity are relatively okay but people feel bad. it’s mainly a disconnect between consumer sentiment and economic data."

Post Kyla Scanlon @kylascan Jun 30, 2022 Are we manifesting a recession? We seem to be in a Vibecession - a period of temporary vibe decline where the economic data says things are okay, but people aren't. kyla.substack.com/p/the-vibecess... 371 ● 1578 3K la 口企


In conversation with Know Your Meme, Scalon elaborated on how the idea came to her; "this concept has always been around -- reflexivity, animal spirits, etc … it's exacerbated because we are constantly tuned into each other."

How Did The 'Vibecession' Gospel Spread?

The term saw more usage as 2023 progressed, and was picked up by The New York Times in an editorial describing the "vibe-cession" on December 6th, 2023. The article, and many online commentators came to the conclusion that the "bad vibes" people have about the economy may stem from how the COVID-19 pandemic drastically decreased people's quality of life in a way that not everyone was able to recover from.

evelyn website @deleteevelyn most logical vibecession answer is that almost everybody's life got dramatically worse in early 2020 and never quite got back to 100% normal. everybody got more sick and more insane and nobody has any idea how to fix it except to wait it out or something 10:00 PM Dec 4, 2023 745.7K Views 32 . ● 1.7K 17K 1.2K : [(β†’


On X, left-leaning online commentator Will Stancil took the discussions about vibecessions as his time to shine, given that he had spent years repeatedly emphasizing a growing crevice between public perception of the economy and its actual state, arguing that much discourse online was shaped by perception more than reality.

Joey Politano @JosephPolitano. Aug 31 I think Will Stancil has reached his breaking point on the vibecession debate 41 Will Stancil @whstancil - 10h THIS IS UNRELATED TO MY POINT. SOMETIMES PEOPLE CARE ABOUT THINGS THAT ARE DIFFERENT THAN YOU. My point is that whatever is driving short-term economic sentiment in the US, it's delinked from hard economic indicators. How many times do I have to say it?!? Adam H. Johnson @adamjohnsonCHI Β· 19h Replying to @samknight1 The US is a uniquely (compared to other "developed countries") difficult place to be poor in and it's a hellish place to be very poor in all of which by design-creates a lot of panic for those who are a rung or two above poor even if they are doing ok According to The Line Graphs 76 1 36 21 Will Stancil @whstancil - 10h The utter incuriosity of even accomplished and theoretically intelligent leftists - their seeming inability to accept that sometimes people say or do things that aren't some kind of ideological pretext - makes you realize how Jacobins ended up executing scientists. 1 73 170 17 1.5K 120.8K 57 10.5K 196K ↑ 口企


The debate surrounding the vibecession escalated to the point where an X user supposedly working at a bar where Stancil dined posted a photo of a check showing that Stancil purportedly ate a single hot dog and a side of fries alone. While the user soon deleted the post, it had already been archived and reposted for the world to see.

Joey Politano @JosephPolitano Β· Nov 28 I am formally declaring the vibecession discourse to have gotten completely out of hand 49 Will Stancil @whstancil 29m ayfkm will stancil eating a hot dog al... . 15h Replying to @mollywidstrom he got a hot dog at my bar the other day. He was eating alone Kitchen IP 11/15/2023 4:52 PM AM BAR STANCIL W 1 of 1 Check: 20031 Table Tent 2 DOG 76 0.G.B SIDE FRIES 2.3K ₁493K 口 :


What Are Some More Jokes And Discussions About The Vibecession?

litquidity @litcapital Y'all in a vibecession I'm in a vibe bull market (sauced) We are not the same 4:30 PM Aug 11, 2022 5 ↓ 14 232 口1 Subscribe (β†’ Guy Berger @EconBerger 22h An income-based explanation for "vibecession": 1) Even though we haven't had an actual recession over the past 2 years, inflation-adjusted personal income per capita (blue) have behaved in a recessionary way. 2) That's true even though "the economy is good" (orange) 2Y Annualized Growth 7.5% 5.0% 2.5% 0.0% -2.5% -5.0% 12 No Recession, But Recession-Esque Income Growth www.w Oct-60 Oct-67 Oct-74 Oct-81 Oct-88 Oct-95 Oct-02 Oct-09 Oct-16 Oct-23 Recession Real Personal Income Per Capita (12MMA) Real Personal Income Per Capita Exc. Transfers (12MMA) Source: BEA, NBER, Author's Calculations 38 174 : ₁77K @econberger 口企
https://www.tiktok.com/embed/v2/7309643825868328234
https://www.tiktok.com/embed/v2/7278336587539189035
walldee @neighborrunner *me sockdem And ben gross approaching a random woman on the street* alright shorty, Stancil son or vibecession daughter *us getting pepper sprayed* 2:08 AM Dec 4, 2023 4,384 Views 11 227 146 口2 : ↑ Will Stancil @whstancil face it, I'm winning Episodes All Episodes The Daily The Daily More like this The Bad Vibes Around a Good Economy ●●● Sort The American economy, by many measures, is doing better than it has done in years. But for many Americans,... Today β€’ 21 min :




For the full history of the vibecession, be sure to check out Know Your Meme's encyclopedia entry for more information.




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