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Spaghetto wrote:
Frankly, a "victory" for either side would be pyrrhic and wrought with harsh, long-term consequences. Ukraine will struggle to recuperate its severe losses, and will be open to another attack by Russia. Joining NATO would certainly mitigate this problem, but losing so many people to war never has good effects on a society. Russia would face similar, but less severe, consequences from its own losses, and would also struggle with occupation; not just in whatever territories it annexes (likely those it already declared it has) but in more tumultuous home regions as well.
In any case, any of these problems would be made considerably worse by their mutual issues of corruption and autocracy.
The Defense guys predict significant limitations in weapon and munition production by 2025-2026. even with imports from countries like North Korea, and they've been right so far it's difficult to imagine them being wrong.
Talking about the toll on the West, but the East Bloc's cannibalizing itself to feed Russia. Russia, by itself, had to increase a shitton of spending up to 40% just to sustain itself as it is.
Only reason Russia is not cutting it's losses it's because they're in-too-deep to pull out. But the long-term economic and political impacts of this shit is going to hurt them hard.
Like I said, the US and friends have no reason to panic. By now, the "Huge Russian Advance" is just fighting for the same frontline that's been stuck for a year now.