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Asteroid YR4 2032 Impact

Added 3 days ago / Updated 2 days ago
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No banana for scale, unfortunately
Meme about "asteroid YR4," identified by scientists in late 2024. In February 2025, scientists calculated that the odds of the asteroid hitting the Earth are over 2%.
Meme about "asteroid YR4," identified by scientists in late 2024. In February 2025, scientists calculated that the odds of the asteroid hitting the Earth are over 2%, prompting jokes about what events have fewer odds of happening than YR4 hitting the Earth.
Tweet about "asteroid YR4," identified by scientists in late 2024. In February 2025, scientists calculated that the odds of the asteroid hitting the Earth are over 2%, prompting jokes about what events have fewer odds of happening than YR4 hitting the Earth.
Tweet about "asteroid YR4," identified by scientists in late 2024. In February 2025, scientists calculated that the odds of the asteroid hitting the Earth are over 2%, prompting jokes about what events have fewer odds of happening than YR4 hitting the Earth.
Tweet about "asteroid YR4," identified by scientists in late 2024. In February 2025, scientists calculated that the odds of the asteroid hitting the Earth are over 2%, prompting Huberman Math jokes about the rate at which the probability of impact is increasing.
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Overview

Asteroid YR4 2032 Impact, also known as Meteor Hitting Earth In 2032, refers to an asteroid (named YR4) identified by NASA scientists in late 2024. In February 2025, scientists calculated that the odds of the asteroid hitting the earth are 2.3 percent, marking the second time in known history that an asteroid's impact risk has crossed a 1 percent chance. Memes and jokes about asteroid YR4 and its projected impact path began making the rounds in early 2025.

Background

On December 27th, 2024, astronomers announced their discovery of asteroid 2024 YR4, measuring approximately 50 to 90 meters in diameter. Initial calculations indicated a 0.096 percent (1 in 1,040) chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032.[1] By January 30th, 2025, this probability increased to 1.2 percent (1 in 83), prompting the United Nations to activate the Planetary Security Protocol for the first time.[2]

Twitter / X[5] account @PopTingz posted about the news on February 2nd, 2025, gathering over 30,000 likes in a week.

Tweet about "asteroid YR4," identified by scientists in late 2024. In February 2025, scientists calculated that the odds of the asteroid hitting the earth are over 2%, marking the second time in known history that an asteroid's impact risk has crossed a 1% chance.

Developments

As of February 2025, further observations have refined the impact probability to 2.3 percent (1 in 43). The European Space Agency's Near-Earth Object Coordination Centre continues to monitor the asteroid's trajectory, noting that the risk corridor spans from the Pacific Ocean to parts of South America, the Atlantic, Africa, and Asia.[3] This development marked the second time that an asteroid’s impact risk has reached greater than a 1 percent chance.

Redditor /u/Busy_Yesterday9455 posted about the asteroid's impact zone on February 7th, 2025, gathering over 2,000 likes in three days.[4]

Reddit post about the impact zone of "asteroid YR4," which was identified by scientists in late 2024. In February 2025, scientists calculated that the odds of the asteroid hitting the earth are over 2%, marking the second time in known history that an asteroid's impact risk has crossed a 1% chance.

Online Reactions

After the probability of the asteroid striking the Earth was hiked to 2.3 percent, many internet users began joking about what events have fewer odds of happening than YR4 hitting the Earth. On February 7th, 2025, X[6] user @NateGearySports tweeted, "Quite literally a better chance that an asteroid makes impact with the earth than the Buffalo Sabres making the playoffs," gathering over 3,000 likes in three days.

Tweet about "asteroid YR4," identified by scientists in late 2024. In February 2025, scientists calculated that the odds of the asteroid hitting the earth are over 2%, marking the second time in known history that an asteroid's impact risk has crossed a 1% chance. After the probability of the asteroid striking the Earth was hiked to 2.3%, many internet users began joking about what events have fewer odds of happening than YR4 hitting the Earth.

Other internet users joked about their flawed mathematical calculations, saying that at the rate at which the asteroid's probability of impact is changing, it might reach a 100 percent chance of impact within months. On February 9th, X[7] user @prerationalist posted a Huberman Math meme that gathered over 2,000 likes in a day.

Tweet about "asteroid YR4," identified by scientists in late 2024. In February 2025, scientists calculated that the odds of the asteroid hitting the Earth are over 2%, prompting Huberman Math jokes about the rate at which the probability of impact is increasing.

Also on February 9th, X[8] user @HANCXCK posted a joke about the odds of pulled a special skin on Valorant being lower than the odds of an asteroid crashing into the planet, gathering over 30,000 likes in a day.

Tweet about "asteroid YR4," identified by scientists in late 2024. In February 2025, scientists calculated that the odds of the asteroid hitting the Earth are over 2%, prompting jokes about what events have fewer odds of happening than YR4 hitting the Earth.

Search Interest

External References

[1] Minor Planets Center – 2024 YRA

[2] New York Times – United Nations Planetary Defense Response

[3] Sky and Telescope – 2024 YRA Impact

[4]  Reddit – /r/spaceporn

[5] Twitter / X – ThePopTingz

[6] Twitter / X – NateGearySports

[7] Twitter / X – prerationalist

[8] Twitter / X – HANCXCK

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Asteroid YR4 image example.

Asteroid YR4 2032 Impact

Part of a series on Space. [View Related Entries]

Updated Feb 10, 2025 at 01:55PM EST by Zach.

Added Feb 10, 2025 at 05:25AM EST by sakshi.

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Overview

Asteroid YR4 2032 Impact, also known as Meteor Hitting Earth In 2032, refers to an asteroid (named YR4) identified by NASA scientists in late 2024. In February 2025, scientists calculated that the odds of the asteroid hitting the earth are 2.3 percent, marking the second time in known history that an asteroid's impact risk has crossed a 1 percent chance. Memes and jokes about asteroid YR4 and its projected impact path began making the rounds in early 2025.

Background

On December 27th, 2024, astronomers announced their discovery of asteroid 2024 YR4, measuring approximately 50 to 90 meters in diameter. Initial calculations indicated a 0.096 percent (1 in 1,040) chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032.[1] By January 30th, 2025, this probability increased to 1.2 percent (1 in 83), prompting the United Nations to activate the Planetary Security Protocol for the first time.[2]

Twitter / X[5] account @PopTingz posted about the news on February 2nd, 2025, gathering over 30,000 likes in a week.


Tweet about "asteroid YR4," identified by scientists in late 2024. In February 2025, scientists calculated that the odds of the asteroid hitting the earth are over 2%, marking the second time in known history that an asteroid's impact risk has crossed a 1% chance.

Developments

As of February 2025, further observations have refined the impact probability to 2.3 percent (1 in 43). The European Space Agency's Near-Earth Object Coordination Centre continues to monitor the asteroid's trajectory, noting that the risk corridor spans from the Pacific Ocean to parts of South America, the Atlantic, Africa, and Asia.[3] This development marked the second time that an asteroid’s impact risk has reached greater than a 1 percent chance.

Redditor /u/Busy_Yesterday9455 posted about the asteroid's impact zone on February 7th, 2025, gathering over 2,000 likes in three days.[4]


Reddit post about the impact zone of "asteroid YR4," which was identified by scientists in late 2024. In February 2025, scientists calculated that the odds of the asteroid hitting the earth are over 2%, marking the second time in known history that an asteroid's impact risk has crossed a 1% chance.

Online Reactions

After the probability of the asteroid striking the Earth was hiked to 2.3 percent, many internet users began joking about what events have fewer odds of happening than YR4 hitting the Earth. On February 7th, 2025, X[6] user @NateGearySports tweeted, "Quite literally a better chance that an asteroid makes impact with the earth than the Buffalo Sabres making the playoffs," gathering over 3,000 likes in three days.


Tweet about "asteroid YR4," identified by scientists in late 2024. In February 2025, scientists calculated that the odds of the asteroid hitting the earth are over 2%, marking the second time in known history that an asteroid's impact risk has crossed a 1% chance. After the probability of the asteroid striking the Earth was hiked to 2.3%, many internet users began joking about what events have fewer odds of happening than YR4 hitting the Earth.

Other internet users joked about their flawed mathematical calculations, saying that at the rate at which the asteroid's probability of impact is changing, it might reach a 100 percent chance of impact within months. On February 9th, X[7] user @prerationalist posted a Huberman Math meme that gathered over 2,000 likes in a day.


Tweet about "asteroid YR4," identified by scientists in late 2024. In February 2025, scientists calculated that the odds of the asteroid hitting the Earth are over 2%, prompting Huberman Math jokes about the rate at which the probability of impact is increasing.

Also on February 9th, X[8] user @HANCXCK posted a joke about the odds of pulled a special skin on Valorant being lower than the odds of an asteroid crashing into the planet, gathering over 30,000 likes in a day.


Tweet about "asteroid YR4," identified by scientists in late 2024. In February 2025, scientists calculated that the odds of the asteroid hitting the Earth are over 2%, prompting jokes about what events have fewer odds of happening than YR4 hitting the Earth.

Search Interest

External References

[1] Minor Planets Center – 2024 YRA

[2] New York Times – United Nations Planetary Defense Response

[3] Sky and Telescope – 2024 YRA Impact

[4]  Reddit – /r/spaceporn

[5] Twitter / X – ThePopTingz

[6] Twitter / X – NateGearySports

[7] Twitter / X – prerationalist

[8] Twitter / X – HANCXCK

Related Entries 23 total


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Top Comments

Matau, Toa Of Air
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Matau, Toa Of Air

Fortunately, this thing is just city-killing size, not planet-killing.

Space agencies internationally have developed a lot of different measures they can take once the asteroid is more in-range and if it has a higher probability to hit the earth. (Most likely a coordinated effort will be made to use each of these methods in succession to give us the greatest odds)

Nuke it: self-explainatory, would reduce the mass of the asteroid and potentially steer it away from earth- downside is that it could leave a dense and irradiated asteroid core still heading to Earth

Drill into it and explode it like that one movie: Same as above, may leave irradiated asteroid debris in a scattershot towards earth.

Slingshot the ISS out of orbit on a collision course. (I think they fired the guy who came up with this one)

Attach thrusters and alter the trajectory.

Attach solar sails and alter the trajectory.

And my favorite: just paint one side white. Depending on how the asteroid is rotating, the solar radiation will reflect off the white side more, pushing the asteroid off the original course and potentially away from Earth.

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