Who Would Win? - Mage vs Mirror

I ran the numbers, and, funny enough, the odds of who will win are exactly 50/50.

(This is assuming that a successfully-reflected bolt does not damage the mirror.)

Take the mirror with him, and put out a bounty. Not only is it more likely to save the wizard's life, its more likely to destroy the mirror as well. His odds are barely above 50% and his opponent is furniture.