I've been struggling hard to come up with a good way to present the information I'd like to make a post about. In some ways I want to frame it historically, making a parallel comparison to the events in the 80s which unraveled the Soviet Union – the war in Chechnya, the brutal failure in Afghanistan, and Chernobyl – to the unravelling of the Chinese CCP government amidst the COVID outbreak.
We are over a year since this whole thing began, and where as we are finally opening up, moving beyond the lockdowns, the mandates, the chaos, the economic downturn, and a global death toll of nearly 4 million people, it's increasingly becoming clear that we are entering stage 2. How did this happen? Who is responsible, who are culpable, what exactly are the ramifications then and now, and going forward.
Earlier in February of this year Vice Minister of State Security Dong Jingwei a high ranking Chinese official defected, with his daughter, to the US. Vice Minister of State Security Dong Jingwei has passed on important information about the Wuhan Institute of Virology to the US government, which some speculate may have prompted the Biden administration into turning a U-Turn in investigating the Wuhan Institute.
A growing list of countries are starting to demand increased transparency over what exactly happened in China, and the Wuhan Institute. Increasingly we are getting reports of how far the Chinese government went into burying their own culpability in this crisis. Although nothing is concretely proven, a hell of a lot of circumstantial evidence is squaring that this accident was well known by the CCP, and purposefully hidden – to the cost of millions of lives.
So much so, that evidently Zhou Yusen, a military scientist for the People’s Liberation Army who died in May last year, had filed a patent for a Covid-19 vaccine on 24 February 2020.
"Despite Zhou’s status as an award-winning military scientist, there were no reports or tributes, with him only being labelled as “dead” in a Chinese media item from July and a scientific publication from December last year.
However, the report revealed that the patent, filed by the PLA’s Institute of Military Medicine, was lodged just five weeks after China acknowledged human-to-human transmission of the novel virus."
Unlike the Tiananmen Square in 1989, China is a far more internationalist country, wholly dependent on it's export power, but also it's large international projects, such as the Belt and Road Initiative.
The wolf doctrine international diplomacy and the disaster of the covid virus, with China's lack of transparency, and suspect influence on major international health institutions like the WHO has certainly not helped it's image across the world. Indeed, "face" is an important cultural element in China, that is, saving face takes a far larger precedence than admitting incompetence and failure.
Obviously the mood in the US towards China, across both political aisles has drastically decreased, but that mood is mirrored across the Atlantic in the EU, with a large percentage of the European countries holding China in very negative view:
The Chinese promises to it's international partners has fallen on deaf ears. The Belt and Road Initiative is beginning to stagnate, with little to no results for the Chinese people or the prestige of the CCP.
The CCP fears, above all else, not the outside world, but it's own people. They are well versed in history, their own, and their neighbors'. They know fully well that what birthed the CCP itself was a result of a violent revolution that claimed tens of millions, that revolutions and revolts have been a staple of disasters that hit China for almost 200 years now. That, it took a series of a few disasters to destroy the USSR from within – not the military might of the US, or the Western World.
Indeed, that is why the Chinese government, since 2011, spends more on domestic security than it does on it's own military. By a significant amount, in fact. This signals that the CCP is far more afraid of it's own people than it is of international enemies. It would explain it's draconian attempts to control the internal and external dialogue to make sure the CCP is not in fact harmed.
Chinese diplomats, once quietly posting a few positions on twitter have become actively engaged in social media propaganda war buying fake fans, using these platforms to actively parrot the CCP's message across the internet world.
Last year we saw the Republicans and the Trump administration wage war on TikTok. But with good reason as the massive social media platform is an increasingly effective Chinese propaganda tool
And yet…The CCP is dealing with a series of it's own internal problems – with the near breaking of the Three Gorges Dam last Summer, to the re-emergence of the COVID virus in some of it's major cities and now emerging threats of a potential nuclear disaster we are seeing a Chinese government eager to distract itself with what the Authoritarians governments do best when there is a threat to their power; cultivate nationalist fervor through bellicose stances in the international arena.
The cornered tiger begins to lash out as record number of Chinese airplanes were sent to the Taiwan airspace (although it seemed to have been kind of a flop). Indeed, the Biden administration is ready to meet this by seriously considering increasing relationship with Taiwan and there has been rumors circulating that t he US may place a permanent presence in Taiwan, which effectively tells the Chinese that if they plan on any invasion of Taiwan, they are putting US troops in the way – in turn – risking an all out war.
I am left wondering how the next few years will unfold as the world increasingly turns against the over-reaching Chinese, and the CCP. I wonder how much pressure can the CCP maintain of increasing discontent within it's own country. A country that is riddled with severe social-demographic issues that cannot be easily solved. For example, for the first time ever the CCP actually created it's own version of Social Security – fearing that due to the one-child policy the old system of children obligated (even by law) to take care of their elders is untenable.
But what worries me more about the demographic situation is the male to female ratio. in China is 105.302 males per 100 females. That is, 738.25 million males and 701.08 million females in China today. That is 37 Million men who will not have a wife, or any hope for a family. That has historically created severe discontent, and that kind of energy is often channeled into war, or rebellion.