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There’s a 20% chance your side will win the elections. That’s why you should have at least 5 prime ministerial candidates to ensure at least one wins. Or 6, just to be safe.
Uploaded by Philipp May 14, 2024 at 10:25AM EDT
andrew huberman math error cumulative probability statistics mathematics mistake
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If I buy 6 shitcoins and each one has a 20% chance of going up I have a 120% chance of a winning trade.
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Adding twice as many software developers to a project that is behind schedule will get it completed twice as fast.
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instead of having a baby in nine months, have six girlfriends, and have a baby in just a month and a half
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if we assume one ai waifu is like 20% real waifu then we need about 5 gpt-4o accounts to have a waifu in real life - that’s just maths. maybe 6 accounts just to be sure.
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And so if you don’t hedge power, we know that the probability of index settling low on any one month is maybe 20%.
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If you acquire six businesses at 2x EBITDA, private equity will buy the whole thing from you for 12x. It’s basic math.
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And so by combining GPT-3, GPT-4, and GPT-4o, you can actually get all the capabilities of GPT-11
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Andrew Huberman's Math - There’s a 20% chance your side will win the elections. That’s why you should have at least 5 prime ministerial candidates to ensure at least one wins. Or 6, just to be safe.
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Uploaded May 14, 2024 at 10:25AM EDT
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