sstabeler Wrote
oh hell, please don’t tell me Spike is next…
…I wouldn't say he's likely to grow a Horn any time soon…
…But his distinct lack of Wings, even in "Psudo Adult" Form, seems to make me think Spike may get a long story line about him earning his wings.
so maybe there will be a new Alicorn Season 4, fitting the pattern.
…Maybe…
Needless to say… If any official looking Material where an Alicorn is Depicted show up ANYWHERE… How about we believe them this time?
…Of course… There's always Skyla…
But as for Mane 6… I assume that if and when they ascend is going to roughly correspond to the moment they fulfill their other dreams… or as some would put it, the end of their current Arc.
Rainbow Dash wants to be a Wonderbolt… Rarity wants to be famous… depending one which you see to be closer to achieving their goal, one is going to become Alicorn First.
Why these two are being used is cause out of the Remaining Five, these are the only two with an Ongoing Quest arc to speak of… With Applejack needing a new one to blossom from what thread of narrative we've gotten from her in season 3… Fluttershy has barely an Arc and Pinkie has almost No arc to speak of.
And between Rainbow Dash and Rarity, its more or less a coin Toss which comes next…
Rarity's goals are more or less in line with becoming a Princess… So when she fulfills her arc her reward can be becoming Alicorn, which gives her everything she wanted.
Meanwhile… Rainbow Dash has a much more concrete set of tasks ahead of her before she reaches her goal of becoming a Wonderbolt, which means its relatively closer… but it doesn't entirely line up with Alicorn Stuff… So though she'll achieve her dream first, either the Alicorn part will come later… or the thing that gets her into the Wonderbolts turns out to be her becoming a Princess.
However… If we're going to put a probability on it… We kind of need to see a few episodes involving one or the other… If Rainbow dash begins to look closer to being Wonderbolts, we'd have to place it at about 50/50 chance… (That 50/50 being a coin toss on whether becoming a Wonderbolt is Circumstantially aligned with her Becoming a Princess)… But if not, it will probably swing in Favor of Rarity.
As such… For now I'll have to place odds on Rarity… But that will almost definitely change as the Season goes on.