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If we add 1 new payor a month that each has 50M covered lives, we’ll cover 600M US lives after Year 1
Uploaded by Philipp May 14, 2024 at 10:12AM EDT
andrew huberman math error cumulative probability statistics mathematics mistake
Origin Entry: Andrew Huberman's Math
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"...and that's the beauty of Private Credit. You make one loan at 20%, then a second at 20%...that's 40%...by the time you've made your 6th loan you are making 120%."
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His math is wrong of course. If a woman has a 20% chance of conceiving and has sex six times she has 0.2^6 chance, which is 0.0064%
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"Note: At the timestamp related to cumulative probability of pregnancy (2:01:30), I misspoke, my apologies. The data in the following graph are correct but the “120%” is not."
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Andrew Huberman's Math - If we add 1 new payor a month that each has 50M covered lives, we’ll cover 600M US lives after Year 1
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