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Dr. Uri Elliott, MBA www@amn3siak And so if you don't hedge power, we know that the probability of index settling low on any one month is maybe 20%. But if you ride the index for say another 5 months after that, the probability of the index settling low goes to 100%. 9:18 PM. May 13, 2024 2,839 Views ...

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andrew huberman math error cumulative probability statistics mathematics mistake

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Daniel @growing daniel His math is wrong of course. If a woman has a 20% chance of conceiving six times she has 0.2^6 chance, which is 0.0064% and has yan @bcrypt - May 8 Replying to @bcrypt in case youtube takes it down 10:38 AM May 9, 2024 1M Views .

sphinx @protosphinx There's a 20% chance your side will win the elections. That's why you should have at least 5 prime ministerial candidates to ensure at least one wins. Or 6, just to be safe. 2:09 AM • May 14, 2024 10.9K Views

Autism Capital @Autism Capital If I buy 6 shitcoins and each one has a 20% chance of going up I have a 120% chance of a winning trade. ... • 12:40 AM May 14, 2024 76.8K Views

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Nine women can make a baby in one month

Daniel Vassallo @dvassallo Nine women can make a baby in one month 8:18 PM ⚫ May 13, 2024 723.4K Views ...

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If you acquire six businesses at 2x EBITDA, private equity will buy the whole thing from you for 12x. It’s basic math.

Robert Sterling ❤ @RobertMSterling If you acquire six businesses at 2x EBITDA, private equity will buy the whole thing from you for 12x. It's basic math. • 7:57 PM ⚫ May 13, 2024 27.8K Views •••

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And so by combining GPT-3, GPT-4, and GPT-4o, you can actually get all the capabilities of GPT-11

Turner Novak @TurnerNovak And so by combining GPT-3, GPT-4, and GPT-40, you can actually get all the capabilities of GPT-11 7:00 PM - May 13, 2024 392.7K Views ...

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If we add 1 new payor a month that each has 50M covered lives, we’ll cover 600M US lives after Year 1

Stuart Blitz @StuartBlitz If we add 1 new payor a month that each has 50M covered lives, we'll cover 600M US lives after Year 1 • 2:22 PM ⚫ May 13, 2024 1,991 Views

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That’s 196 years of ownership

Conor Mac @InvestmentTalkk Our 392-company portfolio has an average holding period of 6 months. That's 196 years of ownership • 10:38 AM May 13, 2024 11.8K Views ...

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Our 10 person team has worked 20 years That’s 200 years of experience

kyle o'hehir ❤ @financeguy725 Our 10 person team has worked 20 years That's 200 years of experience • 8:04 AM • May 13, 2024 91K Views

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My Bones After I Mix 50 Cartons of 2% Milk and Achieve 100% Milk

KIJUNSEN @kijunsen My ponies alten i mix du cartons of 2% milk and achieve 100% milk 12:07 AM • May 12, 2024 70.8K Views

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"...and that's the beauty of Private Credit. You make one loan at 20%, then a second at 20%...that's 40%...by the time you've made your 6th loan you are making 120%."

Rammity Capital @RammityCap "...and that's the beauty of Private Credit. You make one loan at 20%, then a second at 20%...that's 40%... by the time you've made your 6th loan you are making 120%." . . 6:09 AM • May 10, 2024 663 Views

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If you flip a coin three times, it would be 150%, but that is a whole other thing…

MJ Matthew B Jané @MatthewBJane If you flip a coin twice, the chance you get heads at least once is 50%+50%=100%. If you flip a coin three times, it would be 150%, but that is a whole other thing... From yan 4:05 PM - May 9, 2024 390.3K Views

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"Andrew Huberman is scientifically illiterate"

Andrew Côté @Andercot Andrew Huberman is scientifically illiterate From yan 12:20 PM May 9, 2024 2.8M Views SWELL ...

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His math is wrong of course. If a woman has a 20% chance of conceiving and has sex six times she has 0.2^6 chance, which is 0.0064%

Daniel @growing_daniel His math is wrong of course. If a woman has a 20% chance of conceiving and has sex six times she has 0.2^6 chance, which is 0.0064% yan @bcrypt May 8 Replying to @bcrypt in case youtube takes it down 10:38 AM - May 9, 2024 1M Views

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"Note: At the timestamp related to cumulative probability of pregnancy (2:01:30), I misspoke, my apologies. The data in the following graph are correct but the “120%” is not."

Note: At the timestamp related to cumulative probability of pregnancy (2:01:30), I misspoke, my apologies. The data in the following graph are correct but the "120%" is not. The appropriate equation is 1-(1-p)^n where p is the probability of getting pregnant in a given cycle and n is the cycle number. Therefore the equation for this scenario is 1-(0.8^6). Using the equation, cumulative probability over 6 cycles is 73.8% (rounded to 3 significant figures). For a visual representation: https://bit.ly/4dxkfPA

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Andrew Huberman's Math - And so if you don’t hedge power, we know that the probability of index settling low on any one month is maybe 20%.

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Dr. Uri Elliott, MBA www@amn3siak And so if you don't hedge power, we know that the probability of index settling low on any one month is maybe 20%. But if you ride the index for say another 5 months after that, the probability of the index settling low goes to 100%. 9:18 PM. May 13, 2024 2,839 Views ...

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