campaign to encourage people to take steps to stop the spread of coronavirus

#FlattenTheCurve

Part of a series on COVID-19 Pandemic. [View Related Entries]

Updated Mar 23, 2020 at 12:40PM EDT by Matt.

Added Mar 13, 2020 at 03:30PM EDT by Adam.

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Overview

#FlattenTheCurve, also known as Flatten the Curve, refers to a viral campaign to encourage people to take steps to slow the spread of the Coronavirus. The name comes from a bell-curve graph illustrating the difference in the spread of a viral outbreak when a society takes preventative measures vs. when it doesn't. When it doesn't, the outbreak can affect more people and overwhelm the health care system's capacity to treat everyone. In the graph, this is represented by a sharp curve. When society takes preventative measures, the outbreak does not affect as many people at once and health care systems can adequately handle the outbreak. This is represented by a "flatter" curve.

Background

On February 28th, 2020, Twitter user @drewaharris[1] posted a graph representing how an outbreak looks when a society takes preventative measures vs. when it doesn't. The society that takes preventative measures does not overwhelm the health care system (shown below).


Drew Harris @drewaharris Important to remember that #Covid-19 epidemic control measures may only delay cases, not prevent. However, this helps limit surge and gives hospitals time to prepare and manage. It's the difference between finding an ICU bed & ventilator or being treated in the parking lot tent. # of Without Protective Healthcare system capacity cases Measures With Protective Measures Time since first case Adapted from CDC / The Economist

Developments

On March 6th, 2020, Twitter user @CT_Bergstrom praised the graphic in a Twitter thread,[2] gaining over 10,000 retweets and 15,000 likes (shown below, left). He wrote, "This single picture explains the concept of flattening the epidemic curve to non-specialists without requiring any additional text. Looking at the picture, you can see that even if you don't reduce total cases, slowing down the rate of an epidemic can be critical." The graphic caused "#FlattenTheCurve" to trend as people took the image to heart and created variations. For example, user @SiouxsieW[3] posted a GIF representing the concept, gaining over 10,000 retweets and 12,000 likes (shown below, right).


Carl T. Bergstrom @CT_Bergstrom · Mar 6 1. A very short thread on the power of data graphics and scientific communication. Roughly a week ago, some very smart person* sat down, drew this graph, and saved lives. (*It's 2 AM. Without an economist subscription, I can't quickly discover whom. Maybe someone can help.) # of Without Protective Healthcare system capacity cases Measures With Protective Measures Time since first case Adapted from CDC / The Economist 221 27 10.3K 15.9K Dr Siouxsie Wiles @SiouxsieW · Mar 10 Our #FlattenTheCurve graphic is now up on @Wikipedia with proper attribution & a CC-BY-SA licence. Please share far & wide and translate it into any language you can! Details in the thread below. #Covid_19 #COVID2019 #COVID19 #coronavirus Thanks to @XTOTL & @TheSpinoffTV FLATTEN THE CURVE FULL HEALTHCARE SYSTEM CAPACITY TIME SINCE FIRST CASE DON'T PANIC BUT BE CAREFUL. - WASHING HANDS - NOT TOUCHING FACE - STAY HOME WHEN SICK GIF SOUKSIEW @XTOTL @THESPINOFFTV 'ADAPTED FROM @DREWAHARRIS, THOMAS SPLETTSTÖBER (@SPLETTE) AND THE CDC' CC-BY-SA 195 27 10.9K 12.9K NUMBER OF CASES

The term became a widely written-about means of mitigating the epidemic, having been covered by Vox,[4] The New York Times,[5] CBS[6] and others. The popularity of the term led #FlattenTheCurve to trend, as people recommended "social distancing" tactics, such as working from homes and not going to large events to help prevent the spread of the virus. For example, Twitter user @Sci_Phile[7] joked, "It’s finally not rude to cancel your plans," gaining over 160 retweets and 950 likes (shown below, left). User @deboevep[8] posted an image of matches meant to illustrate the concept, gaining over 200 retweets and 500 likes (shown below, right).


Kyle Hill @Sci_Phile Social distancing will help #FlattenTheCurve by taking yourself and others out of the infection chain. Same number of cases, but spread over more time, giving the health care system precious time to adjust. It's finally not rude to cancel your plans. 1:08 AM · Mar 13, 2020 · Twitter for iPhone Patrick De Boever @deboevep Social distancing helps...#CoronaOutbreak #FlattenTheCurve #tousensemble

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